Sunday Forecast, February 19th, 2017
*WEATHER ALERT DAYS-SUNDAY, MONDAY*
We are under the Marginal Risk (Category 1 of 5) for strong to severe thunderstorms late Sunday and overnight into Monday. The slight risk has been issued just to our north and towards the DFW metroplex. There's an outside shot that some of us might be upgraded to the Slight risk category by tomorrow afternoon, and we will continue to monitor this. As of right now, the ingredients are in place for heavy winds 40-60mph, hail up to quarters, and perhaps a tornado, albeit unlikely. The greater severe risk remains to our north. Locally, quick-hitting rainfall will also be a concern to watch, but I don't expect widespread flooding.
TIMELINE: STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT SUNDAY/MONDAY
The latest information we have from future track and from models show that the main intensities from this storm system move into the region late Sunday night into Monday morning. The most likely timeframe appears to be between midnight and extending through Monday early morning. Future track shows the heaviest intensities over Austin around 1-3am.
LOCAL RAINFALL PROJECTIONS:
The majority of guidance we have suggests that widespread averages might be coming down a little bit, but we never want to underestimate potential quick-hitting rainfall in central Texas. As of right now, I would expect around 1-2" inches of widespread rain, and isolated higher amounts if some of the storms are strong and run over the same areas. Minor flooding is looking like a possibility.
CBS AUSTIN EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
WEATHER ALERT DAYS SUNDAY FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER AND MONDAY FOR POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL EARLY. Clearing up and drying out by midweek, with sunny skies and temperatures falling in the 70s and 80s!
Light drizzle, uncomfortable conditions and warmer than average temperatures will be over the us at the start. Thankfully, no thunderstorms until much later Sunday! Happy running.
Have a good weekend and watch for storms late Sunday/Monday!
TV Broadcast Meteorologist.
10700 Metric Blvd,
Austin, Texas. 78758.
Today's Record Temperatures